Assembly District 18
[Get Scott's free daily political newsletter | premium subscribers receive alerts and back-end data]

All Districts > AD18: Oakland
[incumbent: Rob Bonta (D) - term limit: 2024]

Probable Candidates - 2014

District Projection: Safe Democrat | ATC Partisan Index = 87.4 D
  • (i) Rob Bonta (Democratic) - California State Assemblymember  
  • David Erlich (Republican) - Electrician  
  • (i) = incumbent

    Until the filing period closes, candidates who have made gestures to a run are included. Some of these may not run, while others are likely to jump in.

    2012 Presidential Race

    • Barack Obama (D) 86.9%
    • Mitt Romney (R) 10.2%

    2010 Gubernatorial Race

    • Jerry Brown (D) 81.8%
    • Meg Whitman (R) 13.1%

    District Map

    Display this map on your site.

    large map

    District Voter Registration


    As the first member of the "class of 12," Rob Bonta is expected to stay put in AD18 through the allowable 12 years, particularly with Sandre Swanson sitting in the wings awaiting Loni Hancock's 2016 term limit in the State Senate. Look for Bonta, who has a Yale law degree and is the first Filipino to be elected to the Assembly, to ascend to Assembly leadership.

    . . .
    More Analysis


    Reported Fundraising
    (January 1-March 17, 2014 filing period)
    CommitteeContributionsExpendituresCash on HandContributions Since*
    Bonta For Assembly 2014, Rob [SOS]$130,215$113,002$332,794$29,500
    David ErlichThe FPPC does not have a report for this candidate
    * = Contributions of $1,000 or more
    Source: California Secretary of State

    2012 General Results

    November 6 General Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Rob Bonta (D)75,86550.5%316 of 316
    Abel Guillen (D)74,42249.5%316 of 316

    County Breakdown | Vote Count Tracker
    Source: California Secretary of State

    2012 Primary Results

    June 5 Primary Election Results
    Final Results
    CandidateVotesPercentPrecincts Reporting
    Rob Bonta (D)23,00736.9%291 of 291
    Abel Guillen (D)18,52129.7%291 of 291
    Joel B. Young (D)11,68018.8%291 of 291
    Rhonda Weber (R)9,08214.6%291 of 291

    County Breakdown
    Source: California Secretary of State


    2010 Census Demographics for AD18
    Citizen Voting-Age Population 19.8% 29.5% 12.8%
    Total Population 22.6% 23.3% 26.3%

    The Bench (likely future candidates)


    Comments on the race for Assembly District 18 via Facebook